23th Dec 25 - the creation of a Greenland High

In lots of cases, cold air flooding south in North America may be particularly unsupportive of cold weather, but that doesn't seem to be the case at day 7.

Particularly low pressure, bringing cold air will go far south enough to provide enough anticlockwise energy along the eastern coast to bring amplification and pull high pressure north, into the North Atlantic, reloading the mid-Atlantic blocking that would be diminishing otherwise

wxcharts-ecmwf_op-atl-gph500_anom-2025-12-29T06_00_00Z-2026-01-02T00_00_00Z.gifwxcharts-ecmwf_op-atl-850temp_anom-2025-12-29T06_00_00Z-2026-01-02T00_00_00Z.gif

There is uncertainty when it comes to the positioning of the renewed blocking, so therefore uncertainty in the result for us, but it at least creates potential for cold setups

wxcharts-gfs_op-EUR_NA-850temp-2025-12-29T06_00_00Z-2026-01-02T06_00_00Z.gif


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