Could we see a brutally cold easterly this January?

It's notable that the upcoming Atlantic spell is more of a weak zonal flow, rather than something much stronger

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As a result, pressure in the Arctic isn't looking all that low, especially in Barents Sea area. The low-pressure systems that push through the Atlantic may manage to pull some warmer air over that area to generate a weak Arctic High when combined with the leftovers of the current diminishing Greenland high. While that by itself isn't all too helpful to cause cold spells, if that signal on the chart above were to trend south, which isn't very unlikely, considering that it's at day 10, brutally cold air could build to our east, while the jet stream undercuts it, allowing this frigid air to make its way over us.

Take this GEFS member for example, considering that this is very cherry picked, and it isn't a trend at all in the ensembles

GFSP07EU00_276_2.png


In addition, teleconnections are supportive of a Scandinavian high in late January

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